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Thanks tehh4ck3r for the Ehome & old chicken point. I'd forgotten about that.
Given that information, that bumps VG.R up a rank, and, for the moment, puts Na'Vi as the Bubble Team that's "in" on just a direct 10 team invite list. That we're that far down for the year kind of tells us the problem that's been introduced.
But Team Empire, Na'Vi & Vega can all fight for that last spot at ESL One Frankfurt, unless Valve announces Invites on Monday. (They've generally done it the day before Open Qualifiers, but, well, it's Valve. They do whatever they want.) Though the Invite conditions are going to be different for each team. Empire needs to win outright. Vega can probably jump Na'Vi with a 2nd & Na'Vi not in the Top 4. Na'Vi should be fine with a Top 4 and neither of the other 2 making the Finals.
Na'Vi & Vega have a chance to jump Fnatic in an 8-team invite scenario, as well. But they need to win outright.
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There's justification for Valve to choose DC over CoL too. 2/5 of the team is 2 times major finalist and 1 time major winner. They are also currently the best placing NA team together with CoL in Manila.
Based on past invites, it often comes down to who Valve thinks has more potential in the actual TI. Chances are they will give it to DC who is a newer team and has much lesser time to gel together. CoL's performance in ESL One will be crucial for Valve to decide.
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no way eg doesnt get an invite. they're the defending champs. the na spot is definitely eg's. as for china, 3 spots seems just right considering 2 sea team got into top 6 for 2 majors.
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OP is spot on. Hope that DC, Wings and Empire also make it through. Secret and EG - no, please not. They better lose in the qualifiers. Bunch of spoiled drama kids.
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On June 13 2016 00:55 Kheve wrote: no way eg doesnt get an invite. they're the defending champs. the na spot is definitely eg's. as for china, 3 spots seems just right considering 2 sea team got into top 6 for 2 majors.
Agree , EG are invited 100% , when are they starting to invite the teams ? is it soon ?
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Well, Stage 1 of one of the CIS teams getting an invite is in place. Vega vs Na'Vi for a trip to the finals.
Though OG vs Liquid's winner should be the de facto favorite in the finals.
On the off chance they release the Invite information before I get back to this, since I'll miss the ESL One Frankfurt finals, Na'Vi winning outright should probably jump them into a Top 8 Invite Scenario. Likely at the cost of Fnatic.
Fnatic's only selling point is 2 consecutive 5th/6th at the Majors, but, aside from a 3rd/4th @ ESL One Manila, they've accomplished nothing else this year.
Granted, in an 8-team Invite scenario, I'd be a little surprised that it was 4 EU / 2 China /1 SEA / 1 NA, but that would be reflective on the quality of the regions this year. Though given we're down 3 tops teams from most of the year (Secret, EG & Ehome), it's hard to argue against that point.
If Vega won, they'd be looking at a spot in a 10-invite Scenario. Maybe.
These analysis are just so messy with so many podium finishes eaten up by EG, Secret & Ehome being gone.
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I think is gonna be like this : 1. OG 2. TL 3. Newbee 4. LGD 5. MVP 6. Fnatic 7. Navi 8. VGr 9. DC 10. Alliance
+ 1 Qualifer from each region + 2 Wild Cards like TI5
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Argh, damn it. I was thinking of even typing up 4 & 6 team invite scenarios. And they went with 6.
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As a note to myself the next time this comes up, Valve puts emphasis on the tournaments *after* Invites go out for the "recency slots" of the next set of Invites. Region Invite balance is also a top priority for them.
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