We created this tool to make in-game forecasts about who is winning a game of Dota 2 and gives that information to players. Our tool also gives suggestions as to what actions you can take and how much it will affect your win probabilities. Here’s a video on the content. Please try it out and take our exit survey (it’s only 8 short questions ~ 2 minutes!) The exit survey is provided in-game at the end of the match. You must complete the full exit survey to be eligible for payment.
Disclaimer: Half of the players will be given our “official” model, and the other will be given a “naive” model in a classic blind test. The official model better takes into account the relationship between in-game activities. You can read more about it at our conference paper. We will be using the survey results in an expanded version of this paper . This phase of the project checks if people can determine a difference between the two models in practice.
Other game-related research by members of our group: