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DreamLeague Season 9 Preview

Forum Index > Dota 2 General
11 CommentsPost a Reply

DreamLeague Season 9 Preview

March 19th, 2018 12:19 GMT
Text byjdc214
Graphics byDreamHack
DotaPit Season 4 Playoff Preview

Table of Contents


Intro

The Favourites

The Hopeful

The Made-It-Through-Qualifiers

The ?

More on Liquipedia


It’s that time of year again. Our friends over at DreamHack are hosting their second DreamLeague of this year’s Pro Circuit, though this one will be a bit smaller as its a Minor. While it is a Minor, DreamLeague Season 9 shouldn’t be underestimated, as it is still one of the few tournaments this season with a full double elimination bracket. The field looks strong as well, with top tier contenders in Team Liquid, Team Secret, and Newbee making this event have a very strong top end. That said, the rest of the teams aren’t half bad either: Fnatic and Immortals round out the mid tier of this tournament (though a wide tier it is, with OG & Fnatic having 600+ DPC Points and Immortals having only 90). Finally we have Pain Gaming and Team Empire, while neither are expected to lock up DPC points, this tournament should provide them some valuable experience.

We’ve reached the halfway mark of this year’s Pro Circuit (roughly 50% of the season’s DPC points have been won) and while some teams are basically guaranteed for their TI qualification, that also means there are still many teams fighting for the remaining spots. Any team that can turn its season around still has a solid chance of TI qualification.

The Favourites



It’s hard to say that there are 3 favorites in an 8-team tournament. It almost seems silly to call almost half the teams likely to win, but that’s where we stand. Liquid and Secret have been on fine form and were even the finalists of the DreamLeague Major earlier in the season. It’s easy to say that Liquid and Secret are a step ahead of Newbee based on the DPC rankings, but a check of recent form is important as well. While Secret may have “stumbled” (if you can even call it that) in the past couple months, having missed out on the finals of their past two tournaments, their losses in those tournaments were to two of their competitors here, Liquid and Newbee. With competition like that it’s almost a gamble to see how the brackets turn out, luckily for us the brackets have already been released. With possible matchups of Newbee in the Semifinals and Liquid in the Winner’s Finals, expect to see Secret in the top 3.

Liquid and Newbee. What more could you ask for? The two finalists of TI7 will be attending DreamLeague and while Newbee may not have shown the consistent dominance of Liquid or Secret, China’s strongest team is certainly capable of taking it all. Having broken their curse against Liquid at ESL Genting, Newbee finally defeated their rivals to take home gold. Overcoming Secret and Liquid for first would certainly provide a nice boost to their DPC ranking, but more importantly it would be a massive boost to their confidence going into the final stretch of pre-TI tournaments. As for Liquid, plenty has been said about them already. TI Champions, successfully avoided the post-TI hangover, finished in the finals or top 4 of almost every tournament they’ve played in since then. Even Virtus Pro, the current DPC leader with a staggering 7000+ points, was overjoyed to defeat Liquid in the semifinals of PGL Bucharest. Afterwards VP made the finals look like a walk in the park, commenting that really the only team they felt could challenge them was Liquid. In the end seeing Newbee outside of the top 4 would be a surprise while Liquid finishing outside of top 4 or even top 2 would be a major upset.


The Hopeful



Here we have Fnatic and Immortals. While they may be in the same category, there is a rather large difference between the two. Immortals have struggled since the former MVP players move to America, eventually being forced to swap players out, removing QO and Forev to add Ryoya and Velo. The problem being, Immortals have had months to adjust to this roster change. If we were going to see something new from them, it would have happened already. Something serious needs to change if they hope to contend with top teams. Meanwhile Fnatic has been on the upswing as of late, proving the value of adding Universe to their roster. Recently at ESL Katowice they only lost to VP and Liquid. It’s hard to knock a team for losing to the two best teams in the world, but that might mean that Fnatic might be moving up from hopeful to favorite in these next months. Then again they have EE on their team so anything is possible, good or bad.

The Made-It-Through-Qualifiers



Finally we have Team Empire and Pain Gaming. Neither of these teams are particularly accomplished. While each has triumphed in their own qualifiers for this event, these qualifiers had relatively weak fields. These teams aren’t here for the DPC points as they would have to collectively “realize the truth” and start winning majors / minors to actually qualify for TI that way. That isn’t why they are here. They’re here for experience, to learn, to challenge the best teams in the world. A top 4 finish for either team would be fantastic and would be an accomplishment in its own right. Then again, remember that this is Dota and anything is possible. If SG can defeat Team Secret or Ad Finem could reach the finals of the Boston Major then maybe there is hope for Team Empire and Pain Gaming..

Are we forgetting someone? Ah yes…

The ?



OG have yet to be mentioned so far because they can’t be ranked yet. Having recently released Resolution, they’ve subbed in their coach 7ckngMad until they find a new replacement. This has two major effects: 1) They can’t qualify for TI8 through DPC and will have to go through qualifiers and 2) This will be OG’s first tournament playing with Sebastien, making them a complete unknown. While OG’s performance this year has been lackluster, this move tells us that they strongly believed they lacked a shot at winning TI. Despite their performance so far, they achieved enough points to make a significant difference, sitting at 10th place with 630 points. Forcing themselves to play through the qualifiers for reasons other than qualifying to or winning TI seems absurd.

Writer: jdc214
Editor: OmniEulogy
Frontpage and banner image: DreamHack
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WriterSteam: IceNine - Check out my twitch https://www.twitch.tv/iceninedota/
melkor3
Profile Joined October 2011
Austria34 Posts
March 19 2018 15:24 GMT
#2
Hi, I would suggest to use little team logos to make the wall of text more readable and to give the reader a faster overview, what he's going to read. Or link at least once the team to their liquipedia page. It will help to improve the reading experience

Example with image:+ Show Spoiler +

[image loading] OG have yet to be mentioned so far because they can’t be ranked yet.


Example with url:+ Show Spoiler +

OG have yet to be mentioned so far because they can’t be ranked yet.


Example with image + url:+ Show Spoiler +

[image loading] OG have yet to be mentioned so far because they can’t be ranked yet.


Just my opinion
The One and Only
MetalMercury
Profile Joined January 2015
United States1138 Posts
March 19 2018 16:15 GMT
#3
I agree with the above comment!

Also this tournament is absolutely huge for Fnatic; they need something here or they risk falling pretty far behind the 8-ball as far as DPC points go.
plasmidghost
Profile Joined April 2011
United States10586 Posts
March 19 2018 18:46 GMT
#4
I'm very worried for Fnatic
Got to work on my brain then I'm crawling back to my grave and I'm certain that I'm gonna die this time, no doubt is left inside my mind tonight
Chillander
Profile Joined September 2017
219 Posts
March 19 2018 22:29 GMT
#5
I hope Pain gaming makes top 4! They should have a somewhat decent chance of making it, although they might be tired after WESG but in a good mood
Kelefei2016
Profile Joined August 2016
Papua New Guinea487 Posts
March 20 2018 06:35 GMT
#6
These are all strong team except Pain Gaming in my opinion. Yes Pain did good games in WESG but those are not their regular team includes Russia.
Fnatic gog the best draw in where they play with OG, i am considered OG as the weakest in front of Liquid, Secret, Newbee.
Yurie
Profile Joined August 2010
7892 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-20 07:00:29
March 20 2018 06:55 GMT
#7
So this tournament has no live audience due to being in the dreamleague studio? Similar to most BTS stuff then I guess.
Vertical
Profile Joined July 2011
Indonesia3188 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-20 07:12:27
March 20 2018 07:10 GMT
#8
The only reason Pain reach WESG finals is because Valve keep patronizing SA and they capitalize on that in WESG, where no other team ever played high caliber dota.
-Terran-
OmniEulogy
Profile Joined July 2010
Canada3155 Posts
March 20 2018 07:53 GMT
#9
WESG has nothing to do with Valve or their invite system for events.

Example with url:+ Show Spoiler +

OG have yet to be mentioned so far because they can’t be ranked yet.


I really like this suggestion melkor3 thank you I'll try to incorporate this into our future tournament coverage.
Front Page Lead
uwahwah89
Profile Joined May 2015
Indonesia158 Posts
March 21 2018 00:39 GMT
#10
Really hoping OG to bounce back in this tournament for the sake of good dota. Also Empire and Pain, gogo make that upset happen.
Go go liquid wiki
nothingmuch
Profile Joined March 2015
448 Posts
March 21 2018 07:31 GMT
#11
On March 21 2018 09:39 uwahwah89 wrote:
Really hoping OG to bounce back in this tournament for the sake of good dota. Also Empire and Pain, gogo make that upset happen.


Seems unlikely. Either something major (hehehehe) happened behind the scenes that made going on together impossible, or they decided that it just doesn't work with the lineup and they have no shot at winning TI. But then- do they think they can win with their coach as standin? I doubt it. So most likely there's another roster change with a new unknown incoming. And even if they conjure up some hyperskill mid genie out of thin air (they've done it before), it probably will take some time to both find and implement that player in the team.
Yurie
Profile Joined August 2010
7892 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-21 15:53:45
March 21 2018 15:52 GMT
#12
On March 21 2018 16:31 nothingmuch wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 21 2018 09:39 uwahwah89 wrote:
Really hoping OG to bounce back in this tournament for the sake of good dota. Also Empire and Pain, gogo make that upset happen.


Seems unlikely. Either something major (hehehehe) happened behind the scenes that made going on together impossible, or they decided that it just doesn't work with the lineup and they have no shot at winning TI. But then- do they think they can win with their coach as standin? I doubt it. So most likely there's another roster change with a new unknown incoming. And even if they conjure up some hyperskill mid genie out of thin air (they've done it before), it probably will take some time to both find and implement that player in the team.


Removing their current one also shows sincerity when discussing with new players. The position is open and they can start trialling them in scrims as they talk to them.

Though keeping Reso while announcing he will stop after Dreamleague would do the same and Reso would likely stay for the shot at the money at the tournament.
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